Skip to content
Third Way

Series

The No Labels Party Will Re-Elect Trump

Polling data shows voters are frustrated with our two-party political system, leading some to express interest in running a third-party presidential candidate in 2024. But history tells us that third-party candidates don’t win and that a third-party candidate in 2024 would pull support from the Democratic ticket while boosting the Republican nominee--who will most likely be Donald Trump or a Trump acolyte.

As we enter the start of the presidential election cycle, it is important to recognize the role that a well-financed third-party candidate would play. We have compiled this series of resources to share how third-party candidates underperform, hurt incumbents, and would hurt Democrats in 2024.

Shutterstock 1760829971
Memo Published March 21, 2024

The No Labels Contingent Election Plan Explained (To the Extent That is Possible)

Matt Bennett

HG AP910607701517 1 25x
Memo Published March 17, 2024

Five Reasons Not to Join No Labels’ Spoiler Bid

Third Way

HG A Warning to any No Labels Candidates B
Memo Published March 7, 2024

New Poll: A Warning to any No Labels Candidates

Third Way

Off ramps memo HG 2
Memo Published March 14, 2024

No Labels’ August Off-Ramp Is a Fantasy

Lucas Holtz, Matt Bennett

RTS44 PN
Memo Published March 7, 2023

The No Labels Third-Party Bid: A Plan that Will Re-elect Trump

Third Way

NL Radical Shift v4
Memo Published October 24, 2023

The No Labels Party’s Radical New Plan to Force a Contingent Election

Third Way

Screenshot 2023 12 22 at 10 13 11 AM
Third Way in the News Published December 22, 2023, NBC News

No Labels floats the possibility of a coalition government or Congress selecting the president in 2024 (external link)

NL Map Feature
Memo Published June 5, 2023

Does No Labels’ Math and Map Get Them to the White House?

Lucas Holtz, Matt Bennett

Mark Murray NBC No Labels 2 v2
Memo Published August 7, 2023

Independent Election Analysts Conclude the No Labels Bid Will Help Trump

Third Way

EH Btmt T2
Third Way in the News Published October 24, 2023, Politico

Politico Playbook: If you like the deadlocked House (external link)

TW Red Line NL WSJ Feature
Third Way Take Published October 15, 2023

Third Way Redline: No Labels Will Help Trump

Third Way

HG No Labels Extremism1 1 25x 1 25x
Memo Published September 22, 2023

No Labels’ Extremism: In Their Own Words

Lucas Holtz

HG Undermined Democracy
Memo Published September 12, 2023

How No Labels is Undermining Our Democracy

Third Way

No Labels Magic Polling Asterisks hg
Memo Published August 29, 2023

No Labels’ Magic Polling Asterisks

Lucas Holtz, Matt Bennett

Msnbc oped
Third Way in the News Published July 31, 2023, MSNBC

No Labels' third-party fantasy may elect Trump (external link)

Matt Bennett, Rahna Epting

AP19190511771331
Memo Published August 18, 2023

No Labels ≠ Ross Perot

Matt Bennett

HG shutterstock 1041560482 2x 1 5x
Memo Published July 17, 2023

Dodgeball: Analyzing the No Labels “Common Sense” Agenda

Third Way

HG Third Party v2 06
Report Published December 8, 2022

The Dangerous Illusion of a Presidential Third Party in 2024

Aliza Astrow

Header Quotes v1
One-Pager Published December 8, 2022

Community Thoughts on “The Dangerous Illusion of a Presidential Third Party in 2024”

Third Way

How much money does it take to be a presidential spoiler HG 01
Memo Published June 8, 2023

How Much Money Does It Take To Be a Presidential Spoiler?

Lucas Holtz

HG Third Party One Pager
One-Pager Published January 27, 2023

Explainer: Why a Presidential Third Party in 2024 Would Benefit the GOP

Aliza Astrow

Shutterstock 1770452816 v2
Memo Published January 20, 2023

Battleground State and County Analysis: A Third-Party Presidential Run Endangers the 2024 Democratic Coalition

Lucas Holtz

Screen Shot 2023 08 03 at 9 21 30 AM
Third Way in the News Published August 3, 2023, The Washington Post

Trump’s latest indictment makes No Labels even more outlandish (external link)

Matt Bennett

Wapo trump
Third Way in the News Published April 14, 2023, The Washington Post

Third Way, MoveOn and CAP Action: This plan for a third-party presidential bid in 2024 is dangerous (external link)

Jonathan Cowan, Rahna Epting, Patrick Gaspard

Screenshot 2023 07 18 at 12 54 21 PM
Third Way in the News Published July 18, 2023, Pod Save America

Third Way and MoveOn talk about the diverse coalition that’s trying to stop No Labels (external link)

NYT TPC
Third Way in the News Published June 9, 2023, The New York Times

David Brooks: This Is Not the Time for a Third Presidential Candidate (external link)

Wsj galston 20230718
Third Way in the News Published July 20, 2023, Wall Street Journal

Bill Galston: No Labels Will Make the 2024 Election Even Worse (external link)

538 nl fantasy
Third Way in the News Published July 20, 2023, FiveThirtyEight

No Labels Is Chasing A Fantasy (external link)

Nymag NL
Third Way in the News Published July 20, 2023, New York Magazine

The Guerrilla War to Stop No Labels From Electing Trump (external link)

Manchinnyt NL
Third Way in the News Published May 19, 2023, The New York Times

‘No Labels’ Eyes a Third-Party Run in 2024. Democrats Are Alarmed (external link)

Matt Bennett

Politico5 31
Third Way in the News Published May 26, 2023, Politico

House Dems in No Labels-allied caucus are livid with No Labels (external link)

Third Way

Wsj galston 0502
Third Way in the News Published July 20, 2023, Wall Street Journal

Bill Galston: No Labels May Re-Elect Donald Trump (external link)

CNN Begala oped
Third Way in the News Published March 3, 2023, CNN

Paul Begala: How a third party could unintentionally lead to a Trump 2024 victory (external link)

Playbook nl
Third Way in the News Published March 7, 2023, Politico

Playbook: Dems fret about a No Labels spoiler ticket (external link)

Screenshot 2023 11 29 at 9 36 44 AM
Third Way in the News Published November 29, 2023, The New York Times

Has No Labels Become a Stalking Horse for Trump? (external link)

Politico NL
Third Way in the News Published December 18, 2023, Politico

No Labels Is Pushing a Lie That Will Elect Trump (external link)