What a Sanders Nomination Would Mean for California Democrats

California will play a decisive role in choosing who the Democrats nominate to take on Donald Trump. And with the right person at the top of the ticket, California Democrats could prevail in the seven U.S. House seats they flipped in 2018. That candidate is not Bernie Sanders, whose self-described “democratic socialist” ideas could repel the voters that Democrats need to win in these key down-ballot U.S. House races.

Sanders has not only promoted, but actually introduced legislation that would ban certain industries and eliminate thousands of Californians’ jobs. There’s a reason why Donald Trump calls Sanders his “ideal Democratic opponent.”

Sanders’ Socialism Will Lose to Trump

Sanders self-identifies as a democratic socialist. He has said on camera, “Of course, I’m a socialist."

• Socialism is viewed unfavorably by 58% of Americans.
• 53% of voters said they would not vote for a socialist candidate for President, which was the only characteristic that a majority of Americans said they would oppose in a candidate for President.
• His far-left plans would double the size of the government. Last month, he refused to say how he’d raise taxes to pay for it, and his recent plans fall trillions and trillions of dollars short.

Sanders’ Health Care Plan is Bad for California and Will Lose to Trump

Sanders introduced legislation that would ban all private health insurance.

• 58% of Americans would oppose a national Medicare for All plan if it eliminated private health insurance.
• 29,819 Californians were employed in private health insurance jobs in 2018.

Sixty percent of Americans would oppose a national Medicare for All plan if it required most Americans to pay more in taxes.

• Sanders’ plan would require at least a 7.5% increase in payroll taxes.
• Sanders’ announced tax increases fall $13.4 trillion short of paying for his health care plan.

Sanders and Down-Ballot Races

Groups aligned with Bernie Sanders, like Our Revolution and Justice Democrats, ran candidates on his playbook in the midterms, and they failed to flip a single U.S. House district from Republican to Democratic in 2018. This is true even in a cycle in which Democrats flipped 43 such seats overall including seven in California (net 41 cycle, net 40 election night).

• A 2019 University of Virginia study found that supporting Sanders’ signature Medicare for All policy cost candidates 5-points of support in the 2018 elections.

In 2020, California Democrats should run the playbook that helped them gain seats in 2018: focusing on kitchen table issues that matter to voters, not revolution. Having Sanders at the top of the ticket will make it harder to appeal to the coalition that delivered a blue wave in the midterms.

Conclusion

Sanders’ extremist policies are not what we need at the top of the ticket to preserve and expand Democrats’ U.S. House gains from 2018. If Democrats want to beat Trump in California and across the country, and build on the successes they saw in the 2018 election, they must think wisely about who is representing them at the top of the ticket.