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Published October 23, 2020
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The Job Market in the Battleground of Battlegrounds: The Arizona Suburbs

Urban counties tend to vote for Democrats. Rural counties tend to vote for Republicans. Suburban counties are usually the battleground. What is the jobs picture in these three sets of counties in Arizona, particularly the suburbs, which are the battleground of this battleground state? How well has Trump done compared to Obama, even before the pandemic? As it stands, it is no contest.

Job gains/loss per month (AZ total)
- Obama 2nd term: 7,616/month
- Trump 1st term pre-pandemic: 8,509/month
- Trump 1st term including pandemic: 1,104/month
- Arizonians unemployed at end of Obama Administration: 161,314
- Arizonians unemployed in August: 214,332
Job gains/loss per month (AZ urban counties)
- Obama 2nd term: 5,632/month
- Trump 1st term pre-pandemic: 6,249/month
- Trump 1st term including pandemic: 1,213/month
- Arizonians unemployed at end of Obama Administration: 89,274
- Arizonians unemployed in August: 131,128
Job gains/loss per month (AZ suburban counties)
- Obama 2nd term: 1,147/month
- Trump 1st term pre-pandemic: 1,418/month
- Trump 1st term including pandemic: 209/month
- Arizonians unemployed at end of Obama Administration: 29,896
- Arizonians unemployed in August: 38,865
Job gains/loss per month (AZ rural counties)
- Obama 2nd term: 836/month
- Trump 1st term pre-pandemic: 842/month
- Trump 1st term including pandemic: -318/month
- Arizonians unemployed at end of Obama Administration: 42,144
- Arizonians unemployed in August: 44,339
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