Memo Published April 21, 2015 Updated April 21, 2015

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The collapse in Asian American support for Republican presidential candidates astounded commentators on the Right, many of whom assumed that Asian Americans were obviously, even naturally, Republican voters. As Charles Murray wrote in 2012:

This is a BLOCKQUOTE not just that the income, occupations, and marital status of Asians should push them toward the right. Everyday observation of Asians around the world reveal them to be conspicuously entrepreneurial, industrious, family-oriented, and self-reliant. If you’re looking for a natural Republican constituency, Asians should define “natural.”#

For those on the Right, Asian American support for Democrats is a paradox. But, as we demonstrate below, a variety of elements—including changes within the Asian American population and political push and pull factors—have driven Asian American voters to support Democrats in recent presidential elections and make them a relatively unpredictable factor in future races.* Drawing upon survey data, we conclude that Asian Americans represent a swath of untapped political power—and courting them can pave the way to victory in both local and national elections. This is a new sentence.

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Reason #1

Asian Americans political participation lags other groups because many are new to the partisan political process.

Between 1960 and 2010, the Asian American population increased from one million to seventeen million.# That figure is projected to double by 2060.# The Census Bureau estimates that they are the fastest growing racial or ethnic group in the United States. Despite these soaring growth rates, Asian Americans are among the least politically engaged ethnic or racial group in the country, with political participation rates lagging whites, blacks, and Hispanics.

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