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Third Way
Memo Published May 7, 2025

Scenarios Decarb America

Decarb america series

1. Pathways to Net-Zero Emissions

Policy Scenarios

Decarb America began by analyzing a reference case and a scenario exploring the impact of a package of sector-specific policies, the Sectoral Policies scenario.

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Competing Net-Zero Visions

Additionally, we analyzed seven distinct technology and policy pathways for reaching net-zero by 2050: 1) High Renewables/High Electrification, 2) Constrained Renewables, 3) Slow Consumer Adoption, 4) Constrained Renewables + Slow Consumer Adoption, 5) High Conservation, 6) Low Biomass, and 7) No Fossil. These net-zero scenarios reflect different assumptions about policy, technology, and consumer behavior and were designed to answer common questions about the technology and deployment challenges of reaching net-zero emissions.

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2. Energy Infrastructure Needs for a Net-Zero Economy

The Policy Scenarios and Competing Net-Zero Visions detailed above are used for our infrastructure analysis. The Interactive Maps webpage presents modeling results comparing the differences in infrastructure build-out between these nine scenarios.

3. Power Sector Deep Dive

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4. Clean Energy Innovation Breakthroughs

Not available.

5. Employment Impacts in a Decarbonized Economy

Not available.

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