Social Policy & Politics Program | Memo

The I's Have It: Pre-Convention Voter Registration Analysis

by Michelle Diggles, Ph. D and Lanae Erickson Hatalsky

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Hispanic voters in Florida are registering at record numbers…as Independents.

Wait, what?

Since 2008, nearly as many Hispanics have registered as Independents as have registered as Democrats or as Republicans, combined.

With both parties about to head to key battleground states for their National Conventions, the time is ripe to delve into how these states—and 6 other crucial battlegrounds—have changed since the last time around. In our newest analysis of the numbers in the 8 presidential battleground states with partisan voter registration, we find:

  • Democratic registration is down 800,329, or 5.2%;
  • Republican registration is down 78,985, or 0.7%; and,
  • Independent registration is up 486,677, or 6.4%.

We also paint a more detailed picture of the changing electorate in North Carolina and Florida, and why the path to victory in those convention states looks different in 2012 than it did four years ago.

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