Social Policy & Politics Program | Graphic

Moderate Majority: Democrats Win Most Of Their Presidential Votes From The Middle

by Michelle Diggles, Ph. D and Lanae Erickson Hatalsky

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In every single Presidential election in the modern era, moderates have made up a majority of those voting for the Democratic candidate. The same is not true of Republicans; in fact, since 1984, conservatives have consistently been the largest source of their votes. Win or lose, moderates make up the base of Democratic Presidential coalitions.

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End Notes

1 CBS News Poll: 1976 National Election Day Exit Poll [USCBS1976-NATELEC]. CBS News, Fielded November 2, 1976.

2 CBS News/New York Times Poll: National election exit poll, 1980 [USCBSNYT1980-NATELEC]. CBS News and New York Times, Fielded November 4, 1980.

3 CBS News/New York Times Poll: National Election Day Survey, 1984 [USCBSNYT1984-NATELEC]. CBS News and New York Times, Fielded November 6, 1984.

4 ABC News Poll: National Election Day Exit Poll, 1988 [USABC1988-7477NATELEC]. ABC News, Fielded November 8, 1988.

5 Voter Research and Surveys: National Election Day Exit Poll, 1992 [USVRS1992-NATELEC]. ABC News/CBS News/NBC News/CNN, Conducted by Voter Research & Surveys, Fielded November 3, 1992.

6 Voter News Service National Exit Poll, 1996 [USVNS1996-NATELEC]. Conducted by Voter News Service, Fielded November 5, 1996.

7 VNS 2000 Election: National Election Day Exit Poll [USVNS2000-NATELEC]. Conducted by Voter News Service, Fielded November 7, 2000.

8 National Election Pool Poll # 2004-NATELEC: National Election Day Exit Poll [USMI2004-NATELEC]. Survey by National Election Poll, Conducted by Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International, Fielded November 2, 2004.

9 National Election Pool Poll # 2008-NATELEC: National Election Day Exit Poll [USMI2008-NATELEC]. Survey by National Election Poll, Conducted by Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International, Fielded November 4, 2008.

10 Data accessed through the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research at the University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT. Crosstabs generated by Third Way. Available at: http://www.ropercenter.uconn.edu/elections/index.html#.T_xxIJGp1lE.

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